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Tuesday, September 07, 2010
Cutting Social Security: really, really bad ideaEzra Klein says he has become a convert fromt he "Let Grandma east catfood" persuasion to realizing that cutting Social Security is not a good idea at all. He explains in Making Social Security less generous isn't the answer Washington Post 09/05/2010:Social Security provides disability insurance and survivor's benefits, but when people talk about it, they tend to be referring to its role as a program that provides income support to retirees. The average monthly benefit of $1,170 replaces about 39 percent of the person's pre-retirement earnings. Over the next two decades, the "replacement rate" is slated to drop to 31 percent. That is less than in most developed countries -- the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development ranks it 25 out of 30 member nations.And Democratic President Barack Obama, who was elected in part because he and his Party opposed the Cheney-Bush Social Security phase-out programmed, has appointed the Catfood Commission and stacked it with people who are almost certain to recommend Social Security cuts. A truly, genuinely bad policy. Two important pro-Social Security sites to watch in the fight against Obama's Catfood Commission are Social Security Works and the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. Tags: social security
Democratic forebodings for November (1)The netroots have gotten worried about the Democratic prospects in the fall. And I'm going to be commenting the next couple of days on some of those worries.But first, some of the beter news Think Progress reports on some of the issues Republican candidates are having uniting their parties behind them in specific races: Scott Keyes, Republicans In Disarray: Losing Candidates Increasingly Unwilling To Unite Behind GOP Nominees Think Progress 08/31/2010. for instance: CA-GOV: The bad blood didn't end after Meg Whitman trounced Steve Poizner on June 8. Whitman continued to attack Poizner on the radio, leading the latter to declare that Whitman "apparently hasn't gotten the memo that the primary is over" because she is "still misrepresenting my track record."In this case, I'm not sure party unity on the Republican side means that much. Whitman is self-financing much of her campaign and is spending heavily on ad buys. On the Democratic side, Jerry Brown is the Democratic nominee and should generate enough interest and excitement among the base to offset a lot of the discouragement California Democrats might feel over the course of the Obama administration to date. But the Democrats have good reason to be worried. Unemployment is high, economic growth prospects are poor. Plus, the Republicans have a well-established popular story that they are doing a good job of pounding into public consciousness week-in, week-out. The Democrats hardly have a larger story line to frame the current situation at all. In the Republicans story for the general electorate, Big Gubment and snotty libruls hate you and are conspiring against you. Plus libruls hate America. And God. And support fundamentalist Islam. Paul Waldman in They're With Stupid American Prospect Online 08/31/2010 gives a description of how the retail brand of this populism for the benefit of billionaires: [The Republicans] must be careful to keep reminding people, however, that the elite at whom they need to be angry is not the economic elite. No, the elite scorned by the blue-collar poseurs is the cultural elite, the college professors and cosmopolitan urban dwellers, the know-it-alls who are insufficiently contemptuous of foreigners and insufficiently devoted to your religion. (This amounts to its own kind of snobbery; as Michael Kinsley wrote a few years ago, "It's the only kind of snobbery with any real power in America today: reverse snobbery.")So far, this has been the national Democratic strategy this year, hoping that the voters will look at the Republican candidates and decide they are worse than the Democrats, even if they are not particularly excited about the Dems. It's not a very encouraging strategy. But some of the Republican candidates are bad enough that it's not entirely frivolous, either. Tags: 2010 elections, democratic party, republican party
Monday, September 06, 2010
Labor Day 2010: Origins of Labor DayThe US Department of Labor (DOL) provides a saccharine The History of Labor Day. Here's the goody-two-shoes version of the day's history:The first Labor Day holiday was celebrated on Tuesday, September 5, 1882, in New York City, in accordance with the plans of the Central Labor Union. The Central Labor Union held its second Labor Day holiday just a year later, on September 5, 1883.The word "Haymarket" does not appear in the DOL account. It does appear in the BBC's article How May Day Became a Workers' Holiday 10/04/2001. The May Day of the title refers to May 1, celebrated around the world as International Workers Day. But for the most part, not in the US. What's the connection between "Haymarket", Labor Day and International Workers Day? The BBC article explains what the DOL version does not, that a number of labor unions established May 1, 1886, as a day on which general strikes should be held to highlight the demand for the eight-hour day: National or local officials of the three main labour organisations present in the United States at the time, the FOTLU [Federation of Organized Trades and Labor Unions of the United States and Canada], the Knights of Labor and the [anarchist] International Working People's Association (IWPA) began preparing for a general strike to be held on that date. The national office of the Knights of Labor, the most conservative of these three organisations, opposed the strike. Local offices ignored Grand Master Workman Terence Powderly's letter of 13 March, 1886, forbidding members of the Knights to strike. The FOTLU and the IWPA organised aggressively. In particular, Albert Parsons and August Spies spoke to gatherings of working people in Chicago at every opportunity.Parsons was a printer in Chicago who had been an Abolitionist prior to the Civil War, a Radical Republican (which meant something entirely different then than it does today!) who by 1886 was a socialist and active supporter of the union movement. Spies was a German immigrant who became an anarchist and the editor of the Arbeiter Zeitung. The May 1 general strike went off successfully and peacefully in Chicago. But, two days later: Some 65,000 workers were on strike in Chicago, including employees of the McCormick Harvester Works. About a quarter of a mile (0.16 km) away, August Spies was addressing a group of striking lumber workers at a rally. A group of the lumber workers decided to join the striking McCormick Harvester Works employees in confronting strike-breaking workers at the end of the work day.In those days and through the 1930s in the US, gun thugs, cops and National Guards deployed on behalf of employers were commonly used against strikers and labor organizers. The workers organized a rally in Chicago's Haymarket Square for the next day to protest the police violence and killing. The first speaker was August Spies, who took the police department to task as murderers. Then Albert Parsons spoke. Near the beginning of his speech, he made it clear that he was not calling on anybody to take any action that night, but was planning on simply stating the facts of the previous day's events. The Mayor made his way out of the crowd and told the police captain that the rally was peaceful and that the mobilised police officers should be put back onto regular duty. After Spies and Parsons had spoken, other, less charismatic, speakers took the platform. It was now about 10 o'clock at night. While Samuel Fielden was speaking, the 180 police officers, with clubs drawn and in military formation, closed in on the remaining participants of the rally. The police captain commanded that the rally 'immediately and peaceably disperse'.The BBC article describes the subsequent trials against anarchists who were railroaded by the courts. The bombing has never been fully clarified, though it is entirely possible that a Rudolph Schnaubelt, who was named by multiple witneses as the bomb-thrower, may have been "an agent provocateur hired by either the police department or the industrialists of Chicago." The BBC article continues: In 1889, at the Marxist International Socialist Congress in Paris, a resolution was passed calling for a 'great international demonstration' for the eight hour day to take place on 1 May, 1890. On that date, there were May Day demonstrations in the United States and many European countries, as well as in Chile, Peru and Cuba.The date celebrated as International Workers Day all over the world was established to commemorate the disgrace of the Haymarket trials and the anti-labor violence connected with the celebration of May 1 in Chicago by a general strike to demand the eight-hour day. Conservative Democratic President Grover Cleveland in cooperation with the politically conservative AFL established Labor Day in the US as an alternative to International Workers Day. While Karl Marx (1818-1883) and Frederick Engels (1820-1895) were very influential figures in the social-democratic movement in Europe. To what extent the Social Democratic Parties in the Socialist International of 1889 could be called "Marxist" is less clear-cut, although that's probably quibbling as far how we understand the terms we use today. But the leading Social Democratic Party in Europe, one with which Marx and Engels were closely associated, was the German Social Democratic Party (SPD). In 1889, the SPD was still operating under the Gotha Program of 1875, about which Marx had expressed his differences in his Critique of the Gotha Programme, first published in part in 1890-91. The SPD adopted a new program in 1891, when Marx had been dead several years. But his close collaborator Engels wrote A Critique of the Draft Social-Democratic Program of 1891 (1891) indicating his differences with the official text. Brief English excerpts of both programs are availabe from the Hanover Historical Texts Project. The orginal German texts of both Das Gothaer Programm and Das Erfurter Programm are available online; both are short. Tags: international workers day, labor day, labor movement
Labor Day 2010: Labor in the US todayKatrina vanden Heuvel, editor of The Nation, No holiday for labor unions Washington Post 08/31/2010, looks at the state of union on this Labor Day in the US:Unions are in trouble. They represent less than 13 percent of the workforce and less than 8 percent of private workers. Union workers still receive higher wages and are more likely to have employer-provided health insurance, pensions and paid sick leave than non-union workers. But when unions represented over 33 percent of all private workers in the 1940s, they drove wage increases for everyone -- non-union firms had to compete for good workers. Now, unions struggle just to defend their members' wages and benefits. Over the past decade before the Great Recession, productivity soared, profits rose and CEO pay skyrocketed, but most workers lost ground.She doesn't use the term "neoliberalism," aka, the Washington Consensus, the main ideology of economic "globalization." But she reminds us about how organized labor how so often been right in its criticism of such policies on international trade, economic inequality and deregulation. On the latter, she writes: On government regulation, labor fought a pitched battle against privatization and deregulation that Reagan conservatives and New Democrats made fashionable. Now in one area after another, privatization has been revealed as a source of waste, fraud and abuse -- from Halliburton to Blackwater. Deregulation contributed directly to the corporate and financial debauch that brought the economy down, with the human costs apparent from the Gulf of Mexico to Appalachia to the eggs we eat.And she reminds us that it is not anti-union reactionaries who the heirs of the civil rights movement: Last Saturday in Washington, Glenn Beck tried to lay claim to the civil rights movement. That same day in Detroit, we saw the real thing: The UAW, SEIU and AFSCME joining with the Rainbow PUSH Coalition, the NAACP, the Urban League, ministers and civil rights activists to march for jobs and justice. Union support was vital to the Rev. Martin Luther King's march on Washington 47 years ago. And union support is vital to civil rights movements -- from immigration reform to equal pay for women to the fight for jobs -- today.For the Democratic Party and the immediate future of progressive politics in the US, one of the greatest missed opportunities of the Obama administration is its failure to even attempt to pass the Employee Free Choice Act, which would give union organizing the protection it needs in today's conditions. And stronger union movement would mean stronger progressive politics and a stronger Democratic Party. But with a Democratic President appointing a Catfood Commission stacked to recommend the next step in the phase-out of Social Security, you really have to wonder whether today's Democratic Party will ever be capable of fighting for the interest of working people effectively. They will have to be forced to do so. And unions are a key group with a strong incentive to do so. Robert Reich in How to End the Great Recession New York Times 09/02/2010 looks at inequality and its role in causing economic crises. He observes: The economists Emmanuel Saez and Thomas Piketty examined tax returns from 1913 to 2008. They discovered an interesting pattern. In the late 1970s, the richest 1 percent of American families took in about 9 percent of the nation’s total income; by 2007, the top 1 percent took in 23.5 percent of total income. ...labor day, labor movement
Sunday, September 05, 2010
Gareth Porter interview with TheRealNews on Pentagon pressure to keep soldiers in IraqTags: gareth porter, iraq war
Saturday, September 04, 2010
Poor prospects for Israel-Palestine peace talksPeace talks are formally under way again between the Israeli government and the Palestinian Authority. Hamas is excluded from the negotiations. Stephen Walt is pessimistic about the prospect of these talks bringing a permanent settlement of the issues, as he explains in Direct talks déjà vu Foreign Policy 08/30/2010:Here's the basic problem: Unless the new "framework" is very detailed and specific about the core issues -- borders, the status of East Jerusalem, the refugee issue, etc., -- we will once again have a situation where spoilers on both sides have both an incentive and the opportunity to do whatever they can to disrupt the process. And even if it were close to a detailed final-status agreement, a ten-year implementation schedule provides those same spoilers (or malevolent third parties) with all the time they will need to try to derail the deal. I can easily imagine Netanyahu and other hardliners being happy with this arrangement, as they would be able to keep expanding settlements (either openly or covertly) while the talks drag on, which is what has happened ever since Oslo (and under both Likud and Labor governments). Ironically, some members of Hamas might secretly welcome this outcome too, because it would further discredit moderates like Abbas and Fayyad. And there is little reason to think the United States would do a better job of managing the process than it did in 1990s.Ali Abuniimah is also pessimistic in Hamas, the I.R.A. and Us New York Times 08/28/2010: Both the Irish and Middle Eastern conflicts figure prominently in American domestic politics — yet both have played out in very different ways. The United States allowed the Irish-American lobby to help steer policy toward the weaker side: the Irish government in Dublin and Sinn Fein and other nationalist parties in the north. At times, the United States put intense pressure on the British government, leveling the field so that negotiations could result in an agreement with broad support. By contrast, the American government let the Israel lobby shift the balance of United States support toward the stronger of the two parties: Israel.The near-monopoly once held by pro-Likud hardliners in the Israel lobby in the US is at least loosening up, with the increasing prominence of more realistic groups like J Street, who are also more representative of the outlook of American Jews than AIPAC, still the best-known and most powerful of the the pro-Likud lobbies in the US. J Street's M.J. Rosenberg writes in Brilliant Op-ed in Times On Why Mideast Talks Without Hamas Are A Farce TPM Cafe 08/29/2010, commenting on Abunimah's op-ed: "Bottom line: this week's negotiations are probably going nowhere because (1) Hamas is excluded and (2) the United States is in Netanyahu's pocket." Tags: israel
Friday, September 03, 2010
Krugman on the too-timid stimulus of 2009Paul Krugman in The Real Story New York Times 09/02/2010 recounts the history of dueling predictions on the adequate and effects of the 2009 stimulus bill. The national deficit was a phantom fear then, and is still so today.But the too-small stimulus is one of the key events in what is likely to be remembered two years of squandered opportunities by Obama and the Democrats. Their electoral prospects in November are threatened by the ailing economy and high unemployment. Krugman writes, "The actual lessons of 2009-2010, then, are that scare stories about stimulus are wrong, and that stimulus works when it is applied. But it wasn't applied on a sufficient scale. And we need another round." As he notes, we are unlikely to get it. Or at least much of it. And even "Japanese-style deflation is looking like a real possibility," he says, referring to the still-lingering underperformance of the Japanese economy in the wake of their own burst financial bubble in the 1990s. Krugman gives a somewhat different take on the history of the stimulus at his blog in The Economic Narrative 09/01/2010. Here he focuses on the dangers of disinformation and bad analysis obscuring the real lessons of the 2009 stimulus: The way the right wants to tell the story — and, I'm afraid, the way it will play in November — is that the Obama team went all out for Keynesian policies, and they failed. So back to supply-side economics!And also at his blog, Paradoxes Of Deleveraging And Releveraging 09/03/2010, he gives a useful sketch of why a badly misguided focus on the deficit - which Democratic policymakers seem to actually take seriously while Republicans use deficit hysteria to opposed Democratic programs like Social Security - could wind up prolonging the current Great Recession by far longer than necessary. Finally, if you're in the mood for David "Bobo" Brooks, his latest New York Times column is about his fantasy of what could have been of Obama had been even more impressed with Herbert Hoover economics from the first day of his Presidency: The Alternate History 09/02/2010. Tags: us economy
Thursday, September 02, 2010
"Liberal" concern trolls: Earl Ofari HutchinsonIf Earl Ofari Hutchinson is any measure, Bob "the Daily Howler" Somerby may be able to keep up the liberal concern-troll act for quite a while. In Beck Speaks for the White Majority Huffington Post 08/29/2010, Hutchinson promotes the FOX News position that Real Americans hate Obama. His pitch is pretty transpartent:Despite the PT Barnum, con man hype, Beck speaks to the majority's unvarnished hostility to liberal Democrats, big government, the elites, Wall Street, abortion, gay rights, taxes, and obtrusive government, and most of all President Obama's policies, and him. Beck and Palin have masterfully stoked white disaffection with Obama. A July Washington Post/ABC News poll found that a bare 40 percent of whites approve of the job he's doing. This was the lowest rating among this crucial voter demographic since the start of his presidency.What a mush of partial information and bad analysis! Here he conflates disaffection with Obama among white Democrats with support for Glenn Beck, which is just silly. The Democratic base voters most disaffected with Obama right now include many liberal Democrats who don't think Obama and the national Party are doing enough to counter the hate propaganda from clowns like Beck. Do the majority of whites harbor "unvarnished hostility to liberal Democrats, big government, the elites, Wall Street, abortion, gay rights, taxes, and obtrusive government"? No. Are a majority of US whites Mormon fundamentalists like Beck? No. Is there a white majority who shares Beck's John Birch Society-like conspiracy theory of history? No. But the toxic combination of bad economic conditions with the failure of the Democrats to establish a clear narrative to challenge the Republican attacks on Big Gubment are giving the Republicans who do assert such hostility a chance they don't deserve in this year's elections. But understanding that reality isn't helped by such a big exaggeration of Beck's popularity. Tags: 2010 elections, radical right
The Democrats seriously need to keep their heads together on defending Social SecurityLaurence Lewis at Daily Kos provides some important perspective on the current situation of the Democrats going into this fall's elections in Life support 09/02/2010:It was just about a year ago that we were hearing stories about President Obama's intention to escalate the war in Afghanistan. Again. The president's most ardent defenders insisted that we shouldn't listen to unnamed and anonymous sources, and should instead wait and see what happened. And then when he escalated, pretty much as had been reported, we were told that it was the right move, and we should support it. The same dynamic played out with the public option. For months, while it became increasingly apparent that the president wouldn't fight for a public option, we were told that he kept saying he supported one, and we didn't know what was going on behind the scenes. When the public option was punted, we were told that it never had been all that important, anyway, and the health insurance bill that was passed was all kinds of wonderful, so we should just be appreciative and grateful.If the Democrats can't get it together to block cuts in Social Security, no matter what form they take, what is the purpose of the Party? Tags: 2010 elections, democratic party
Wednesday, September 01, 2010
Scott Horton on Obama's authoritarian "war on whistleblowers"Human rights attorney Scott Horton reminds us in Obama's War on Whistleblowers No Comment 08/31/2010 that in this regard, the Obama administration really is worse from a liberal and human-rights viewpoint than Bush. That may be partially because in the Valerie Plame case, his administration was using leaks to discredit Joseph Wilson's revelations about his Iraq War lies. But Horton writes:As a young lawyer, Obama represented a whistleblower; as a presidential candidate, he pledged to "strengthen whistleblower laws to protect federal workers who expose waste, fraud, and abuse of authority in government." But as president, Obama has unleashed the most aggressive assault on whistleblowers Washington has ever seen—surpassing even George W. Bush. The latest example comes in a remarkable prosecution of Steven Kim, a well-known scholar of North Korea’s nuclear program.The Democratic base and the general public should hold Obama accountable to live up to his campaign promise on this. So should the media, but for most of them in the US, that's almost laughable to expect. Tags: authoritarianism, obama administration
Iraq War: Mission Accomplished yet againThe best I can say about Obama's Iraq War policy is that he stuck to the withdrawal schedule for "combat" troops that the Cheney-Bush administration had negotiated at the insistence of the Iraqi government. It's better than McCain's 100 Years War there.Felipe Sahagún writes in El Mundo that the official end of combat operations for the US in Iraq is Un cambio semántico (A semantic change) 31.08.2010. Fifty thousand official troops remain there. And the situation in Iraq is still very unsettled. As Greg Mitchell tweeted on 08/18/2010, "Meanwhile, 6 more Americans killed in Iraq, meaning 19 in 4 days." We're on the way out. But not fast enough. And the use of secret operations and mercenary contractors, which Obama has continued and is even expanding, makes the nature of this "change" even more problematic. And praising the great George W. Bush, who violated the Congressional authorization of October 2002 in invading Iraq, took the country to war under fabricated premises, and committed various other war crimes in the process? What is Obama thinking? He should be investigating and prosecuting Bush for the torture crimes especially, not praising him on national TV. (Just a couple of months before the Congressional elections, to boot!) Joan Walsh writes in Obama, Bush, Beck and Hagee Salon 08/31/2010: I didn't expect Obama to excoriate the neocon chickenhawks who lied us into war, but I wasn't entirely prepared for his praising the president who got us into this mess. But he did ...It appears that Obama is still operating on the delusion - and it is truly a delusion if this is what he's thinking - that he's going to be able to establish some kind of "post-partisan" harmony on the basis of fully endorsing the national security state and perpetual war while focusing on the entirely phony threat of budget deficits as an excuse to slash Social Security. This does not look good. Here is the official text: Remarks by the President in Address to the Nation on the End of Combat Operations in Iraq 08/31/2010. Immediately after praising his awful predecessor, he continued with the pretence that our mammoth military establishment is necessary to save us from the mighty superpower "Al Qaeda": The greatness of our democracy is grounded in our ability to move beyond our differences, and to learn from our experience as we confront the many challenges ahead. [Post-partisanship!] And no challenge is more essential to our security than our fight against al Qaeda.Tags: iraq war, militarism
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