Sunday, April 13, 2008

I really don't like the sound of this

Iran Top Threat To Iraq, U.S. Says: Focus on Al-Qaeda Now Diminishing by Karen DeYoung Washington Post 04/12/08; Iran Fighting Proxy War in Iraq, U.S. Envoy Says by Helen Cooper New York Times 04/12/08

Attacking Iran would be a really, really bad idea.

Then there's this: Bomb blast in south Iran mosque kills 9, wounds 105 by Zahra Hosseinian and Hossein Jaseb, Reuters 04/12/08. The article notes, "Tehran has in the past accused Britain and the United States of trying to destabilize the country by supporting ethnic minority rebels operating in sensitive border areas." It doesn't report any evidence that this attacks was connected to US "black ops" in any way. But there has been credible reporting the last several years about clandestine US operations in Iran.

Neocons and Cheney nationalists have a great deal of faith in proxy operations like the Nicaraguan Contra operation during the Reagan administration. But many of these black ops have been disastrous. One of the most successful, successful to the point of being considered a model of clandestine operations, was the CIA's orchestration of the overthrow of Mossadeq in Iraq in 1953. But it succeeded in significant part by dumb luck. And our problems with Iran right now are in important ways "blowback" from that success long ago.

Attacking Iran would be a really, really bad idea.

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