Friday, October 24, 2008
Closer than you thinkAn article in this morning's NY Times announces that Obama is polling well among people who voted for George W Bush. Given the kind of polling numbers we have seen lately - and yesterday's polls were nothing short of stunning - it is clear that Obama has appeal beyond the blue states, black neighborhoods, and bleeding heart liberals. However, I am inclined not to put too much faith in the polls. In my not-so-humble opinion, the polls overstate Obama's lead - this will be closer than you think.
One troubling note in the Times article:
Of potential concern for Mr. Obama’s strategists, however, a third of voters surveyed say they know someone who does not support Mr. Obama because he is black.That's an interesting thing for people to tell a pollster - I wonder how many people offered this information after saying they intended to vote for Obama...and what that might mean about their own racially-motivated misgivings.
Maybe I'm just paranoid. It is not uncommon among those of us on the left. But I can't shake the feeling that this is going to be closer than it should be.
Don't let the polls make you overconfident, complacent, lazy. Don't let the long lines, broken machines, crabby poll workers, inclement weather, or anything else dissuade you. Don't let your country down.
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No subject for immortal verse
That we who lived by honest dreams
Defend the bad against the worse."
-- Cecil Day-Lewis from Where Are The War Poets?
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