Israeli Defense Minister Amir Peretz is saying that the ground war will continue and expand.
Things have clearly not gone as planned from the Israeli side. From Crushed in the Vice of WarDer Spiegel Online 07/31/06:
Jerusalem's military leaders had originally planned to teach Hezbollah's Shiite extremists and their leader, Hassan Nasrallah, a lesson with a swift and hard-hitting attack. Now, though, they've noticeably downplayed their rhetoric. "Certain capabilities were neglected," complains Reserve General Giora Eiland, Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's former national security advisor, in an interview with SPIEGEL. The defeat, says Eiland, is the price Israel is now paying for its arrogance. ...
Hezbollah, for its part, fires up to 150 Katyusha rockets a day into northern Israel. By last Friday, 19 Israelis had been killed and more than 1,200 injured. The country's third-largest city, Haifa, has likewise become a favorite target. Close to 2 million civilians have left their homes and sought refuge in bomb shelters. And if Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah makes good on his threat to bomb Tel Aviv, it will plunge the country into a state of emergency once and for all.
But despite the Hezbollah aggression, the fact that Israel is using controversial cluster bombs has since turned its Operation Just Reward into the most questionable military offensive in the Jewish state's more recent history, exposing Israel to moral condemnation well beyond the borders of the Islamic world. The number of Lebanese dead climbed to at least 542 by Monday with the Lebanese health minister estimating that has many as 750 have been killed. Most have been civilians, including many women and children.
Not surprisingly, Lebanese public opinion has polarized against Israel. If Israel's leaders actually took seriously their claims that they were trying to force the weak Lebanese army to move militarily against the Hizbullah force that is holding off the Israeli Defense Force (IDF), their actions would seem to have made that less likely. In confessionally divided Lebanon, even Christian groups are rallying around not just the government but Shi'a Islamist Hizbullah. (Christen schwenken Hisbollah-Flaggen von Ulrike Putz Der Spiegel Online 07/31/06).
Israel's attack in Qana on Sunday not only shredded the bodies of at least 54 civilians, mostly children - it also tore open the wounds of the recent past. The atrocity immediately conjured images of another massacre committed in the same village a little over 10 years ago, on April 18, 1996, when during "Operation Grapes of Wrath" the Israelis slaughtered 106 civilians who had taken refuge at a United Nations compound. Although that massacre, which is commemorated in Lebanon every year, went unpunished, the Lebanese have long vowed that they will never forget it.
Now that fresh images of the broken bodies of the women and children of Qana are being shown on our television screens, the idea of forgetting has become all the more unthinkable. These images have stirred the anger and outrage of even the most moderate Lebanese, proving that Israeli brutality - not Hizbullah - has become Israel's own worst enemy. Israel's unabashed butchery in Qana has only demonstrated to many of those who were on the fence that there is indeed a legitimate need for resistance.
Despite a decision on ending the aerial attack, the IDF is continuing in its mission of reshaping the new border. Forces are scheduled to complete the destruction of all Hizbullah posts two kilometers from the border by Thursday, and according to a senior officer, "there will be no sign of Hizbullah, including their flag, in this area."
"Every target that represents an immediate threat – will be attacked," a senior IDF officer said. "At this stage there is no intention to attack targets that can be attacked at a later stage, but we won't remain apathetic if we identify a terrorist cell or a Katyusha rocket launcher in operation."
Not all analysts would necessarily be as emphatic as Steve Gilliard in No, Hezbollah is winning, The News Blog 07/31/06, but there is a general recognition that the IDF has fallen significantly short of its own expectations, and those of the Cheney-Bush administration:
This is a massive military defeat for Israel. Not only have they been shown down by a Hezbollah Army far better trained and led than they knew, they have been surprised at every turn. From missiles to bunkers to mined roads.
The problem for Israel is that they have revealed that they cannot beat Hezbollah or control land occupied by Hezbollah without taking unacceptable casualities. When dealing with Hezbollah, victory can only come with a clear, concise defeat. Anything less is a massive defeat.
What is even worse for Israel is that their attack on Lebanon has created massive sympathy for Arabs in the West, making Israel a bad guy and discreting their legitimate security arguments, even in the United States.
Bush did a very foolish thing in not stopping the Israelis. Cheney, despite ALL evidence, wanted to take a second bite at the apple in beating down Iran and Syria and not only did it fail, it made Hezbollah stronger, and even worse, established them as the defenders of Lebanon. When the chips were down, it was the Shia of Hezbollah who faced down the IDF while the Army sat impotent.
I can't stress enough how badly this has gone. The IAF has become reknowned for blowing up hospitals. The IDF cannot take a Lebanese town without getting shot up, one with bunkers their intel and special ops never came across. One their spies never heard of.
A shooting spree/terrorist attack on a Jewish community center in Seattle that claimed one life on Friday seems to be in part a side-effect of the war: (Shooting exposes the war at home by Claudia Rower Seattle Post-Intelligencer 07/31/06).
In intellectual Seattle, where even the most fractious political debates can be discussed over coffee, Friday's shooting at the Jewish Federation building left both pro- and anti-Israeli activists struggling to distance their views from extremism that might erupt in violence.
But the fact of a self-described Muslim announcing his rage at Israel before opening fire was impossible to deny, and brought front and center opinions about conflict in the Middle East that have simmered here for years.
But was the shooter a "Muslim terrorist" or a "Christian terrorist"? Naveed Haq "in the midst of his shooting spree in Seattle Friday, he declared himself an angry Muslim". Yet: Shooting suspect was baptized by Scott Gutierrez Seattle Post-Intelligencer 07/29/06. Gutierrez writes:
He told friends he felt alienated from his own family, in part because his career had disappointed his father and also because he had disavowed Islam last year, converting to Christianity. ...
Last winter, Haq began attending a weekly men's group meeting led by a member of the Word of Faith Church in Kennewick.
The group's leader, Albert Montelongo, said Haq started studying the Bible and in December he underwent a water baptism at the non-denominational church, performed by Montelongo. He said Haq accepted his new faith, though he knew that he would also be offending his own family and its deeply rooted culture. His father, Mian Haq, was among the founders of the Islamic Center of the Tri-Cities in Richland.
Finally, this sobering column by Gideon Levy has attracted attention in the blogs I follow on the Israel-Lebanon War: Days of darkness by Gideon Levy Ha'aretz 07/30/06. Levy writes:
In war as in war: Israel is sinking into a strident, nationalistic atmosphere and darkness is beginning to cover everything. The brakes we still had are eroding, the insensitivity and blindness that characterized Israeli society in recent years is intensifying. The home front is cut in half: the north suffers and the center is serene. But both have been taken over by tones of jingoism, ruthlessness and vengeance, and the voices of extremism that previously characterized the camp's margins are now expressing its heart. The left has once again lost its way, wrapped in silence or "admitting mistakes." Israel is exposing a unified, nationalistic face. ...
Haim Ramon "doesn't understand" why there is still electricity in Baalbek; Eli Yishai proposes turning south Lebanon into a "sandbox"; Yoav Limor, a Channel 1 military correspondent, proposes an exhibition of Hezbollah corpses and the next day to conduct a parade of prisoners in their underwear, "to strengthen the home front's morale." ...
Chauvinism and an appetite for vengeance are raising their heads. If two weeks ago only lunatics such as Safed Rabbi Shmuel Eliyahu spoke about "wiping out every village where a Katyusha is fired," now a senior officer in the IDF speaks that way in Yedioth Aharonoth's main headlines. Lebanese villages may not have been wiped out yet, but we have long since wiped out our own red lines.
Levy takes particular note of how the usual voices of restraint have failed to find the same kind of voice in the current crisis:
The Zionist left has also been made irrelevant. As in every difficult test in the past - the two intifadas for example - this time too the left has failed just when its voice was so necessary as a counterweight to the stridency of the beating tom-toms of war. Why have a left if at every real test it joins the national chorus?
Peace Now stands silently, so does Meretz, except for brave Zehava Gal-On. A few days of a war of choice and already Yehoshua Sobol is admitting he was wrong all along. Peace Now is suddenly an "infantile slogan" for him. His colleagues are silent and their silence is no less resounding. Only the extreme left makes its voice heard, but it is a voice nobody listens to.