Wednesday, September 17, 2008

The Palin Bubble

Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com reports that the air is coming out of the Palin bubble. It was bound to happen; there is no there there.

The Research 2000 poll for Daily Kos now has Palin's favorability-unfavorability scores at 45-44 -- just a +1. Six days ago, when the poll, launched, she was at a 52-35, a +17.

And I know that some of you don't like or don't trust this poll -- for reasons that I think are a little silly -- but there is a similar decline in her numbers in the Diageo/Hotline poll. Her favorability numbers in yesterday's Hotline poll -- today's isn't out yet -- were a 48-36, or a +12. But a week ago, on September 8, she had been at a 48-24, a +24.
That giant sucking sound is the implosion of the Sarah Palin myth.

posted at 2:57:00 PM by Neil

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