Thursday, October 13, 2011
The "Iranian" plot: is the ineptness of the alleged plot all the more reason to attack Iran?I'd like the think that the almost comic implausibility of the alleged Iranian plot busted this week would make it useless as war propaganda. Then I think back to 2002-3 and Iraq's plywood drones of death, their hydrogen-gas trucks of doom, a horror like we've never known before, the smoking gun that could be a mushroom cloud. And I realize that even bad propaganda can be effective enough with determined war advocates and a broken media culture.
This article by James Kitfield, Iran Containment Cast in Doubt National Journal 10/12/2011, made me realize that, from the viewpoint of advocates of war with Iran, the unlikeliness of the alleged Iran/Zetas plot may be a feature, not a bug. Kitfield lays out the case for why the seeming recklessness and unconventionality of the alleged attack is even more reason to attack Iran:
A Tehran willing to engage in such high-risk behavior defies the "rationale actor" presumption that lies at the heart of nuclear deterrence. In Washington, Riyadh, and Jerusalem, governments are reconsidering their Iranian strategies and recalibrating their “acceptable risk” calculations relating to Iran’s nuclear program.Strip out the details and this is the same case made against Saddam Hussein: the regime is completely irrational and therefore containment can't work; if he gets a nuclear weapon, he's sure to use it, and even use it against the US in a nuclear 9/11. Remember Condi-Condi and "we don't want the smoking gun to be a mushroom cloud"? Here we have, "An Iranian government that is willing to take that kind of risk is pretty close to reckless, and that raises serious questions about how they would act with nuclear weapons."
We've been down this road before. The outcome was not good.
Tags: iran, iran war
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No subject for immortal verse
That we who lived by honest dreams
Defend the bad against the worse."
-- Cecil Day-Lewis from Where Are The War Poets?
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