Saturday, March 18, 2006

Iraq the abyss

Robert Dryfuss is sure that in Iraq Civil War Is Here TomPaine.com 03/16/06:

President Bush, whose happy-talk PR offensive on Iraq is in the midst of yet another spurt, suggests that Iraqis "looked into the abyss" and decided that they'd rather avoid civil war. In fact, however, Iraqis are deep inside the abyss, looking out.
Referring to a comment by our ditzy Secretary of Defense Rummy that an Iraqi civil war wouldn't look like the American Civil War, Dreyfuss agrees with him of that point. It would - and does - look like the Lebanese civil war, he says. An event which he describes as "the grinding, 1975-1990 conflict that left hundreds of thousands dead".

It's important to recall what that kind of civil war looks like. And also what it doesn't look like.

Some of the bizarre, faith-based fantasy portrayals with hear about Iraq from the remaining Bush loyalists on the war seem to assume that if normal life is going on somewhere in Iraq, that things must not be too bad. Dreyfuss' description of the Lebanese civil war is a reminder of how silly that perspective is:

Those, like me, old enough to remember Lebanon's civil war understand the pattern. Civil war in Iraq does not look like the American Civil War, with armies clashing on fields of battle. In Lebanon, a kaleidoscopic mix of Maronite Christian militias, Sunni warlords, Shiite militia, Palestinian guerrillas and others formed shifting alliances with each other over fifteen long years. Some parts of Lebanon were relatively stable and quiet, while Beirut, Lebanon’s seaside capital, and towns and villages surrounding it became bloody battlegrounds. Barriers, checkpoints, red lines and green lines divided the capital and its suburbs. There were scores of ceasefires which later collapsed.

Throughout it all, there were elections, and Lebanese governments came and went. Presidents were assassinated. As the fighting raged in Beirut, all sides drew on the resources of their twin hinterlands. The first "hinterlands" were the ethnic and national enclaves, which were like armed camps, who provided the troops, arms and supplies for the main fighting. The second hinterlands were the foreign powers who supported various sides in Lebanon. Above all, that meant Syria and Israel, but it included Iran, Iraq, Libya and others. (my emphasis)
Dreyfuss also links to this article: Two different Paces in Iraq:
Gen. Peter Pace says things are going 'very well' in Iraq; John Pace, former UN-Iraq human rights chief, say abuses are as bad now as under Saddam Hussein Christian Science Monitor 03/06/06. John Pace is quoted there from an AP story:

"Under Saddam, if you agreed to forgo your basic right to freedom of expression and thought, you were physically more or less OK," Pace said in an interview with The Associated Press. "But now, no. Here, you have a primitive, chaotic situation where anybody can do anything they want to anyone."

Mr. Pace, who was born in Malta but now resides in Australia, said that while the scale of atrocity under Saddam was "daunting," now nobody is safe from abuse. "It is certainly as bad," he said. "It extends over a much wider section of the population than it did under Saddam."
In an interview on Democracy Now! (Exclusive: Former UN Human Rights Chief in Iraq Says US Violating Geneva Conventions, Jailing Innocent Detainees 02/28/06), John Pace told Amy Goodman:

AMY GOODMAN: It is good to have you with us. First, your reaction to what has taken place in these last few days in Iraq.

JOHN PACE: Well, I'm not surprised at all, as a matter of fact, because we have been trying to explain to the world at large that there has been a generalized deterioration in the situation of protection of people in Iraq. There is a breakdown of law and order which is characterized by, technically by the nonfunctioning of the police, of the judiciary, and of the penitentiary institutions. Not to mention the military intervention and the various other factors that provoke a breakdown in protection in Baghdad and most of the country. So I think it is a problem related to the relay of accurate information on the - how serious the situation is in regard to the person in the street in Iraq. The ordinary Iraqi. Who has absolutely no protection whatsoever from the state or from the authorities. ...

With the procedure for the transition of re-integration of the country to more representative forms of government, a number of these militias who were armed wings of political entities found themselves in government. And, therefore, they - many of them now, are actually acting as official police agents as a part of the Ministry of Interior.

Regrettably, they have not - they have not assumed technical responsibility on behalf of the state. They have continued to act on behalf of the factions, as it were. And so many or a large number of the – nonofficial armed groups have now become official police persons. With the results that the good policemen — the good technical police people the residue of those that remained after the rest have been fired - after the invasion are unable to do the job properly. There's only one or two brigades of them. The others are all made up of militias in police uniform. ... So you have these militias now with police gear and under police insignia basically carrying out an agenda which really is not in the interest of the country as a whole. They have roadblocks in Baghdad and other areas, they would kidnap in other people. They have been very closely linked with numerous mass executions, at least mass arrests of people who later turned up showing signs of some execution. And so they constitute a major destabilizing factor in the sense that they are responsible for a large degree of the lack of protection of Iraqis in their own country. (my emphasis)
Meanwhile, Bush's "happy-talk PR offensive on Iraq" continued with his weekly radio address on Saturday. He described the Iraq of the neocons' dreams:

Sunday marks the third anniversary of the beginning of Operation Iraqi Freedom. The decision by the United States and our Coalition partners to remove Saddam Hussein from power was a difficult decision - and it was the right decision. America and the world are safer today without Saddam Hussein in power. He is no longer oppressing the Iraqi people, sponsoring terror, and threatening the world. He is now being tried for his crimes, and over 25 million Iraqis now live in freedom. This is an achievement America and our allies can be proud of. ...

These sacrifices by our Coalition forces - and the sacrifices of Iraqis - have given Iraq this historic opportunity to form a democratic government and rebuild itself after decades of tyranny. In the past three years, Iraqis have gone from living under a brutal tyrant, to liberation, sovereignty, free elections, a constitutional referendum, and last December, elections for a fully constitutional government. By their courage, the Iraqi people have spoken and made their intentions clear: They want to live in a democracy and shape their own destiny. (my emphasis)
Freedom is on the march. Every day in every way things are getting better and better.

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