Monday, April 24, 2006

Osama bin Forgotten

But he's still around. And just issued a new audio tape that has been accepted by the White House as authentic. (Given their approach to intelligence, I'm not sure what that actually means!)

His message goes through a litany of grievances against the West and the United States, the "far enemy" in jihadist jargon. One new element was an emphasis on support the struggle of Muslims in the Sudan against pro-Western factions and tribes. He also denounced the attempts by the US, the EU and Israel to isolate the Hamas government of the Palestinian Authority as part of the "Crusader War" against Islam.

Bin Laden's message apparently contained nothing about American threats to attack Iran. Iran is Shi'a, and Al Qaida is radical Sunni Salafist. They hate Shi'a Muslims. They think the Shi'a are apostates and enemies of Islam.

My guess is that Bin Laden and other jihadists are happy that the US took down Saddam. If the US now tries to weaken Iran and undercut the Shi'a government in Iraq, they probably have no great objection.

Here are several accounts:

New Bin Laden tape issues threat to civilians by Brian Whitaker Guardian 04/24/06.

Bin Laden: West waging a crusade Al Jazeera 04/24/06.

Hamas rejects bin Laden message Al Jazeera 04/24/06.

On Tape, Bin Laden Warns of Long War: He Accuses the West Of Acting as 'Crusader' by Craig Whitlock Washington Post04/24/06.

Bin Laden tape condemns West's 'crusader wars' by Kim Sengupta Independent 04/24/06.

An "edited" English version of the text of the message is available at Al Jazeera's English-language site: Transcript: Bin Laden accuses West 04/24/06.

Speaking of Al Jazeera, I know it's Republican conventional wisdom that the service is just a bullhorn for anti-American propaganda. But this article gives a very different picture of how it actually functions: Al-Qaeda's Media Strategies by Marc Lynch The National Interest Spring 2006; posted 03/17/06. Lynch writes:

Al-Jazeera's mass Arab audience and critical worldview made it the best way for Bin Laden to reach the Arab world. But the antipathy to American foreign policy so prominent in Al-Jazeera's narrative should not be confused with support for Al-Qaeda's violent strategy or extreme Islamist goals.

Al-Jazeera is hardly a paragon of Islamist advocacy: Many of its leading news presenters and talk-show hosts are beautiful, unveiled women, and many of its popular figures are determinedly iconoclastic. Its leading Islamist figure, Yusuf al-Qaradawi, is a fierce critic of Bin Laden's form of Islamist extremism (and is regularly castigated in jihadi circles as a dangerous, misguided American dupe). Nor can Al-Jazeera's narrative be reduced to a simple anti-Americanism. It shows the carnage in Iraq, but it also shows democratic elections and gives ample voice to those who condemn Al-Qaeda's Mesopotamian strategy. In its fervent, sustained criticism of the Arab status quo and its advocacy of democratic reforms, Al-Jazeera can sometimes sound surprisingly like an American neoconservative organ.

Al-Jazeera's approach to these videos has hardly been one of willing propagandist, and it has changed over time. In June, when Zawahiri released a tape condemning Egypt's Kefaya ("Enough") movement - a coalition of liberal, Arab nationalist, and moderate Islamist protestors challenging Mubarak's regime - Al-Jazeera followed each excerpt with discussion by the Islamist lawyer (and Bin Laden critic) Montasser al-Zayat, Jordanian liberal Muhammad Abu Roman and Kefaya activist Ahmed Baha al-Din Sha'aban. This transformed Zawahiri's lecture into a dialogue and denied him the monopoly on political discourse he so craved. In January, Bin Laden released his first message in over a year, and Al-Jazeera invited the able, Arabic-speaking American diplomat Alberto Fernandez to respond.
The Independent article on the new Bin Laden tape notes:

Al-Jazeera appeared to have had Bin Laden's message long enough to carry out fairly extensive editing with commentary interspersed with the text.

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